Bitcoin at risk of dropping under $96,000 as U.S.-Iran rhetoric pressures risk assets

1/15/2026, 5:08:11 AM
Betty LynnBy Betty Lynn
Bitcoin at risk of dropping under $96,000 as U.S.-Iran rhetoric pressures risk assets

Bitcoin Under Pressure: Geopolitical Tensions Weigh on Crypto Markets

The cryptocurrency market experienced a surge in total value, briefly approaching $3.25 trillion, before momentum waned. Bitcoin, a bellwether for the crypto market, has shown resilience, hovering above the $96,000 mark. However, performance across various major cryptocurrencies has been mixed, suggesting a degree of uncertainty within the broader digital asset landscape.

Recent market dynamics are being influenced by escalating geopolitical tensions, particularly the heightened rhetoric between the United States and Iran. Such global uncertainties often exert downward pressure on risk assets, and the cryptocurrency market, while increasingly mature, remains susceptible to these external forces.

Expert View

At Next Insight Lab, we believe the current situation demands a cautious approach. While Bitcoin has demonstrated a degree of stability, the potential for further escalation in geopolitical tensions cannot be ignored. Historically, periods of heightened risk aversion have led investors to reduce their exposure to volatile assets like cryptocurrencies. The mixed performance among major altcoins further underscores the selective nature of the current market, indicating that investors are differentiating between projects and seeking safer harbors within the crypto ecosystem.

The market's initial jump towards $3.25 trillion suggests underlying bullish sentiment remains, but this enthusiasm appears to be tempered by the prevailing geopolitical climate. Any significant worsening of the U.S.-Iran situation could trigger a more substantial sell-off, potentially pushing Bitcoin below its current support level. Technical indicators should be closely monitored in the coming days for confirmation of this downside risk.

What To Watch

Several key factors will influence Bitcoin's trajectory in the short term. Firstly, monitoring the news flow surrounding the U.S.-Iran situation is crucial. Any de-escalation could provide a boost to risk assets, including Bitcoin. Conversely, further escalation would likely intensify selling pressure.

Secondly, keep a close watch on trading volumes and order book depth. A significant increase in sell volume, coupled with thinning buy orders, could signal an impending price decline. Analysis of on-chain data, such as exchange inflows and outflows, can provide further insights into investor sentiment and potential selling pressure.

Finally, pay attention to regulatory developments and macroeconomic data releases. Unexpected news on either front could significantly impact market sentiment and override the effects of geopolitical tensions. We will continue to provide in-depth analysis of these factors as they unfold.

Source: CoinDesk